Latest news:

World Cup Final Week of League Play Scenarios


By Indian Cricket Fever
June 30 2019

India's loss to England in Birmingham has given the hosts a lifeline to making the semi-finals, while at the same time virtually eliminating Pakistan from the competition.  Whether that was the intent of the Indian team is hard to tell, but based on the lacklustre performance with ball and especially with bat, one could fairly entertain that thought.   The end of the game was almost as bizarre as the end of Pakistan v. Afghanistan game, and set the tongues wagging about possible fixed matches.  Anway the Table below provides a snapshot of where the teams stand as of the last day of June and going into July and the the business end of an overly long tournament.  Following the Table, analysis is provided of the chances of each potential semifinalists.  

TEAMMWLTN/RPTNRRFORAGAINST
1Australia 8 7 1 0 0 14 1 2363/384.5 2056/400.0
2India 7 5 1 0 1 11 0.854 1681/287.3 1448/290.0
3New Zealand 8 5 2 0 1 11 0.572 1488/294.0 1563/348.1
4England 8 5 3 0 0 10 1 2411/383.1 2117/400.0
5Pakistan 8 4 3 0 1 9 -0.792 1710/338.5 1773/303.4
6Bangladesh 7 3 3 0 1 7 -0.133 1771/291.3 1845/297.1
7Sri Lanka 7 2 3 0 2 6 -1.186 1004/241.0 1041/194.3
8South Africa 8 2 5 0 1 5 -0.08 1580/315.0 1753/344.0
9West Indies 7 1 5 0 1 3 -0.32 1343/263.4 1487/274.4
10Afghanistan 8 0 8 0 0 0 -1.418 1544/389.0 1812/336.2

 

As of June 30, 2019 the bottom four teams are eliminated from any possiblity of making the semi-finals.  This has rendered several games as dead rubber matches, with very little relevance.  In particular the July 1st match between Sri Lanka and West indies, the July 4th match between Afghanistan and West Indies, and the July 6th match between South Africa and Australia will have no say in who the final four teams are as South Africa are eliminated and Australia are already assured a semi final spot.

That leaves four matches namely India v. Bangladesh on July 2nd, England v. New Zealand on July 3rd, Pakistan v. Bangladesh on July 5th, and India v. Sri Lanka on July 6th as having some relevance.

Here are the scenarios for each team (Assuming no further washouts).

For England if the lose to New Zealand they will depend on others to get to the semis. By the same token if they win they will be assured a place in the semis.  The same logic applies to New Zealand.  So this is a crucial game for both teams. 

If India beat Bangladesh they will go to the semis and Bangladesh will be eliminated.  If India lose they will need to win the next game against Sri Lanka to qualify. If India lose both matches they may still potentially qualify (run rates may come into play)

For Bangladesh even if they win against India they will then also need to win against Pakistan on July 5th to potentially qualify (run rates may come into play)

For Pakistan if they lose to Bangladesh they will be eliminated.  If they win on July 5th they may potentially qualify (run rates may come into play)

Of all the teams that could depend on the net run rate to qualify... England have the best current NRR of positive 1.000 and Pakistan have the worst at negative 0.792.

India, New Zealand, and Bangladesh are between these rates.  

By middle of next week the picture should be much clearer. ...

 

View a Printer Friendly version of this Story.

Bookmark or share this story with:

World Cup Final Week of League Play Scenarios
Discussion started by Indian Cricket Fever (IP Logged), 30/06/2019 22:39
Indian Cricket Fever
Indian Cricket Fever
30/06/2019 22:39
What do you think? You can have your say by posting below.
If you do not already have an account Click here to Register.

Akbar
Akbar
01/07/2019 02:58
There is a storm on social media triggered by hurt Pakistan is. Nothing new though - that is what they revel in.

MESSAGES->author
Birbal
02/07/2019 19:28
Quote:
Akbar
There is a storm on social media triggered by hurt Pakistan is. Nothing new though - that is what they revel in.

What is the storm? I have not heard much about it...but then maybe I don't pay attention to the whinning of losers...smiling smiley

Akbar
Akbar
05/07/2019 15:59
Quote:
Birbal
Quote:
Akbar
There is a storm on social media triggered by hurt Pakistan is. Nothing new though - that is what they revel in.

What is the storm? I have not heard much about it...but then maybe I don't pay attention to the whinning of losers...smiling smiley

Pakistanis believe India knowingly lost to England to reduce Pakistan's chances to reach semis.

MESSAGES->author
Birbal
18/07/2019 23:13
Old whine in new botals.

Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.