By Ged
January 4 2007
Ged Ladd reports on MTWD’s popularity statistics. While 2006 was a dreadful year for MCCC on the field it was a bonza year for MTWD in cyberspace, with record growth and a major seven-figure milestone.
Being a bit of an amateur stato, I thought I should track MTWD’s
popularity using the copious data available through our hosts, Sportnetwork. We can
look at stats daily, but Sportnetwork archives the
daily stats while keeping monthly stats going back to “the year dot” available
to moderators like me.
In MTWD’s
case, “the year dot” is May 2002. That
month, a surge of initial interest (1,051 MTWD hits) exceeded those of the
second month (773), but by the end of that season, with a little help from MCCC
itself publicising the site, monthly hits were soon regularly in the tens of
thousands.
Seasonally Adjusted Hit Averages
Of course, sport is a
seasonal thing, so the stats for each month disguise seasonal variations. But a gifted amateur stato
like Ged is not put off by
such matters. Using seasonal adjustment
techniques, rolling annual and rolling average statistics eliminate the
seasonal effect by tracking the growth (or otherwise) of the preceding 12 month
period, month on month. Such data can be
presented either as rolling annual or rolling average monthly statistics.
Chart One
shows the actual number of hits each month and the rolling average monthly hits
at MTWD. Because you need a whole
years-worth of data to gather your first data point for the rolling average measure, that line begins at April 2003, when the rolling
average monthly number of hits was 10228.

By the end of each year
this rolling average figure was:
¨
December 2003 –
24,861
¨
December 2004 –
37,807
¨
December 2005 –
52,475
¨
December 2006 –
92,642
Hit Growth Analysis
This seems to represents
excellent growth. In order to assess the
extent to which this really is excellent growth (i.e. compared with others),
ideally we would benchmark our MTWD stats against other similar sites. We cannot quite do that, but we can chart our
growth compared with Sportnetwork as a whole (which
includes us, plus several other cricket sites plus loads of sites relating to
other sports such as football, rugby, golf etc.)
Here are the rolling
average monthly hit growth stats for MTWD and Sportnetwork
compared at the end of each calendar year for which we have sufficient data (as
2002 was not a complete year, the first full year was 2003 and so the first full
year for which growth can be measured is 2004:
|
Year |
MTWD Rolling Average Hits Growth |
Sportnetwork Rolling Average Hits Growth |
|
2004 |
52.07% |
63.44% |
|
2005 |
38.80% |
55.76% |
|
2006 |
76.55% |
42.08% |
While growth has been impressive
throughout MTWD’s life, our 2006 growth has been
particularly impressive and way in excess of the general growth in sites hosted
by Sportnetwork.
Our seasonally adjusted growth rate overtook that of Sportnetwork
as a whole around June 2006 and has seriously outstripped it since then. At least something seems to have gone right
for Middlesex last summer.
Thanks a Million, Readers
We hit a major milestone in
October 2006 (shucks, Ged
missed it. In 2007 I’ll study MTWD
detailed stats on a regular basis and not go out at all). Our rolling annual number of hits broke 1,000,000 for the first time. At the end of 2006 the figure was
1,111,702. Yes, over 1.1 Million hits on
MTWD in 2006.
This is a seriously big
number, folks, and it’s down to all of us.
Contributors, regular readers, lurkers
and casual passers by.
Are there really lots of us out there? Or just a few obsessives?
Yes, there really are lots
of us. Far more people read the site
regularly than those who contribute. One
final statistic (available in more limited form than the others) is the number
of unique IP addresses (UIPS) that hit our site each month. While the number of unique IP addresses does
not equate to the number of unique people (for example, I use at least two each
month, sometimes a third), most people use only one and the growth in this figure
is a good proxy for the growth in the number of people who use the site.
When I started moderating
the site (Autumn 2005) I realised that this statistic was important but it is
not archived back to the year dot (only the current
year’s data is stored) nor is there any comparative data for UIPS with Sportnetwork as a whole.
Nevertheless, I made sure that I rescued the 2005 month on month data
and of course did the same for 2006.
Chart Two shows the monthly number of unique IP addresses that used MTWD
and the rolling average monthly figure for the 12 months for which that
statistic is available.

Solid and
steady month on month growth yet again. 48.89% for 2006, an average of
4,754 unique IP addresses each month in 2006.
Is that it with the stats?
I’m only an amateur stato, so there might be other wonders buried in the
data. Real statos,
by all means e-mail in your requests for a copy of the data and I’ll e-mail you
the spreadsheet. MTWDAdmin@googlemail.com (Jez Horne and Jack Solock need
not apply – your copies of the spreadsheet are already on the way by
e-mail!)
Can this growth be sustained?
MTWD is not here in order
to grow, it is here to provide what Middlesex
supporters want. I believe that the
recent spate of phenomenal growth indicates that MTWD is providing supporters
with a lot of what they want. I suspect
that there is still room for further growth as I’m sure there are plenty more
supporters out there who would use MTWD regularly if they knew about it.
Face it, regulars, MTWD can
be strangely addictive.
I’m also sure there are
other things we could/should do to sustain and increase interest in the MTWD
site and in MCCC’s cyberspace presence
generally. Turkey Mark’s recent superb efforts with the Photo Site is an excellent example of this.
The future of MTWD is down
to all of us. So please, keep using
it. Those of you
who like contributing features, please keep up that good work. Those of you who like to chime in on the
message board, keep chiming. Those of you
who prefer just to read and lurk – you are very welcome – and also do feel free
to e-mail us at MTWDAdmin@googlemail.com
with your ideas and suggestions.