Middlesex CCC
MIDDLESEX PLAYERS PERFORMANCE PREDICTION GAME 2009
Don't Need A Weatherman..
By Ged
April 7 2009
Once again, by popular demand, Ged presents the simple prediction game based on Middlesex players’ performance in the County Championship. Everyone can play for free and Ged offers a miniscule, cricket-related prize for the winner. Entries must be in by 10.00 a.m. Wednesday 22nd April and there will be no extended deadline.
Guess what each player’s County Championship average (batting and bowling) will be at the end of the 2009 season.
For each player who has 8 or more innings (for batting) and 10 or more wickets (for bowling) your prediction will be compared with the actual average. You get an unwanted point for each run difference between your estimate and the true average.
For example, if you guess that Neil Dexter will have a batting average of 45 and a bowling average of 41, and in fact he has a batting average of 42 and a bowling average of 39, you will get 3 points for his batting and 2 points for his bowling.
If you do not submit an estimate for a player who in the event does have 8 innings or takes 10 wickets, you will be awarded 40 unwanted points for each discipline you failed to estimate. However, you do not get penalised for having a guess for a player who doesn’t make the cut, so it is worth having a guess at more or less the whole squad.
The person with the lowest number of points wins a miniscule cricket-related prize. No-one has won this coveted prize more than once – yet!!
Here is the Hall of Fame for this game so far:
¨ 2005 – James D
¨ 2006 – Warren Ladd (no relation)
¨ 2007 – Dingy Bags (prize still lost in post)
¨ 2008 – Daisy (relation)
The table below shows Ged’s attempt at prediction. If Ged wins, there’ll be a prize for 2nd place but the prize might be that much smaller, if that is possible!
| Name | 2009 Predicted CC Batting Average | 2009 Predicted CC Bowling Average |
| Shaun Udal | 30 | 35 |
| Gareth Berg | 30 | 35 |
| Nick Compton | 30 | 45 |
| Neil Dexter | 40 | 45 |
| Danny Evans | 10 | 30 |
| Steve Finn | 10 | 25 |
| Billy Godleman | 40 | 45 |
| Tyron Henderson | 20 | 30 |
| Dan Housego | 30 | 45 |
| Philip Hughes | 50 | 45 |
| Adam London | 30 | 45 |
| Murali Kartik | 20 | 30 |
| Dawid Malan | 45 | 45 |
| Eoin Morgan | 50 | 45 |
| Tim Murtagh | 25 | 30 |
| David Nash | 40 | 45 |
| Alan Richardson | 10 | 25 |
| Sam Robson | 40 | 45 |
| Ben Scott | 40 | 45 |
| Owais Shah | 45 | 45 |
| Chris Silverwood | 15 | 30 |
| John Simpson | 40 | 45 |
| Andrew Strauss | 45 | 45 |
| Kabir Toor | 40 | 45 |
| Robbie Williams | 10 | 30 |
To enter, please either submit your entry through the Message Board or you may submit in private to mtwdadmin@googlemail.com .
Remember, the deadline is 10.00 a.m. 22nd April, after which no submissions will be accepted. Good luck, everyone.
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Edited 3 time(s). Last edit at 2009:05:02:07:22:17 by Ged.
Shaun Udal 28 29
Gareth Berg 19 36
Nick Compton 32 50
Neil Dexter 38 40
Danny Evans 7 35
Steve Finn 9 31
Billy Godleman 37 60
Tyron Henderson 22 33
Dan Housego 24 50
Philip Hughes 57 50
Adam London 23 50
Murali Kartik 18 24
Dawid Malan 36 39
Eoin Morgan 45 50
Tim Murtagh 16 26
David Nash 38 50
Alan Richardson 11 27
Sam Robson 30 50
Ben Scott 32 50
Owais Shah 48 40
Chris Silverwood 17 24
John Simpson 20 50
Andrew Strauss 45 50
Kabir Toor 15 37
Robbie Williams 10 40
Barmy Kev
I'm only here for the tele
Gareth Berg 25 30
Nick Compton 30 60
Neil Dexter 30 37
Danny Evans 6 31
Steve Finn 7 30
Billy Godleman 38 55
Tyron Henderson 25 27
Dan Housego 20 60
Philip Hughes 35 60
Adam London 20 40
Murali Kartik 13 23
Dawid Malan 42 31
Eoin Morgan 35 50
Tim Murtagh 18 27
David Nash 25 60
Alan Richardson 4 31
Sam Robson 15 38
Ben Scott 27 60
Owais Shah 45 60
Chris Silverwood 17 28
John Simpson 16 60
Andrew Strauss 45 60
Kabir Toor 18 34
Robbie Williams 8 38
Shaun Udal 36 33
Gareth Berg 34 33
Nick Compton 39 48
Neil Dexter 42 42
Danny Evans 14 27
Steve Finn 12 23
Billy Godleman 48 48
Tyron Henderson 34 28
Dan Housego 38 48
Philip Hughes 54 48
Adam London 36 48
Murali Kartik 24 26
Dawid Malan 47 37
Eoin Morgan 59 48
Tim Murtagh 29 29
David Nash 46 48
Alan Richardson 11 23
Sam Robson 43 48
Ben Scott 43 48
Owais Shah 48 48
Chris Silverwood 18 28
John Simpson 42 48
Andrew Strauss 54 48
Kabir Toor 42 38
Robbie Williams 11 25
Hippity is author of top features: Hippity's Tale and Bunny Away
Shaun Udal 25 36
Gareth Berg 26 38
Nick Compton 28 45
Neil Dexter 39 45
Danny Evans 7 28
Steve Finn 6 29
Billy Godleman 41 45
Tyron Henderson 25 33
Dan Housego 26 45
Philip Hughes 46 45
Adam London 32 45
Murali Kartik 22 33
Dawid Malan 41 44
Eoin Morgan 47 45
Tim Murtagh 23 32
David Nash 35 45
Alan Richardson 10 29
Sam Robson 37 45
Ben Scott 38 45
Owais Shah 43 45
Chris Silverwood 15 32
John Simpson 33 45
Andrew Strauss 47 45
Kabir Toor 33 45
Robbie Williams 6 34
Bat Bowl
Shaun Udal 27 31
Gareth Berg 21 43
Nick Compton 39 64
Neil Dexter 42 43
Danny Evans 7 28
Steve Finn 14 29
Billy Godleman 36 70
Tyron Henderson 24 31
Dan Housego 30 80
Phillip Hughes 51 73
Adam London 35 66
Murali Kartik 21 31
Dawid Malan 32 56
Eoin Morgan 45 72
Tim Murtagh 21 29
David Nash 37 99
Alan Richardson 12 28
Sam Robson 23 67
Ben Scott 38 82
Owais Shah 42 54
Chris Silverwood 11 33
John Simpson 18 88
Andrew Strauss 55 67
Kabir Toor 12 66
Robbie Williams 14 47
Get your late entries in pronto!!
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 2009:04:21:09:26:26 by Ged.
Gareth Berg 22 35
Nick Compton 32 55
Neil Dexter 40 45
Danny Evans 8 28
Steve Finn 8 28
Billy Godleman 38 70
Tyron Henderson 25 32
Dan Housego 26 55
Philip Hughes 50 80
Adam London 26 60
Murali Kartik 15 26
Dawid Malan 42 45
Eoin Morgan 46 55
Tim Murtagh 23 28
David Nash 36 60
Alan Richardson 12 27
Sam Robson 26 60
Ben Scott 35 60
Owais Shah 43 58
Chris Silverwood 15 28
John Simpson 26 60
Andrew Strauss 45 60
Kabir Toor 26 38
Robbie Williams 8 36
After just 3 matches, when of course it is much to early to tell, Blaster 89 is in the lead with 332 points, followed closely by Barmy Kev on 346 and Comebackgatt on 353.
Poll of polls and 1st class averages are doing better than everyone other than those above.
MI is next with 371.
I am tied in 7th place with reigning champion Daisy (would you believe it) on 372.
Auntie Janet is bringing up the rear in 12th on 407.
Here is a link to the full model. Please point out mistakes if I have made any - they will be honest ones I assure you.
Spreadsheet model for game
Barmy Kev
I'm only here for the tele
Here is a link to the model with the averages as they stand after 8 games:
Spreadsheet Model 2009 after 8 Games
Blaster89 is still in the lead with Barmy Kev impressing in 2nd place. Our combined wisdom is coming third, with a very close knit pack after that comprising Gatt, MI and Daisy.
Bringing up the rear are me, Auntie Janet and Hippity. Oh dear.
But we have seen the last becoming first and the first becoming last twixt half way point and final standings in this game before, so there is everything still to play for.
Which is probably more than can be said for Middlesex in the CC table, other than the avoidance of that wooden spoon.
