By Ged (on Kev's behalf)
September 25 2006
In an act of the purest altruism, Ged Ladd has analysed the results of Barmy Kev’s County Championship Prediction Game, ahead of calculating out the results of his own Middlesex Averages Prediction Game. It was tight. Mighty tight. Read on.
The following eleven punters played the County Championship 2006
prediction game:
¨
Howard Moon
¨
Ay Kay
¨
Janet Davis
¨
Ged
Ladd
¨
Bubblesdog
¨
Barmy Kev
¨
Chris Thomas
¨
Dingy Bags
¨
Ned Harding
¨
Hippity
the Green Bunny
¨
Key B
In addition, we tracked the following by way of benchmarks:
¨
Wisden
(many written journalists predictions pooled)
¨
Sky Sports (many TV journalists
predictions pooled)
¨
Poll of Polls (MTWD’s
11 entries predictions pooled).
It was close folks, mighty close.
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RESULTS PAGE |
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PUNTER'S NAME |
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TOTAL SCORE |
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RANKING |
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HOWARD MOON |
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46 |
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4 |
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AY KAY |
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48 |
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9 |
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JANET DAVIS |
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48 |
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9 |
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GED LADD |
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50 |
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11 |
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BUBBLES DOG |
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46 |
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4 |
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BARMY KEV |
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50 |
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11 |
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WISDEN |
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38 |
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1 |
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CHRIS THOMAS |
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44 |
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3 |
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DINGY BAGS |
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46 |
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4 |
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NED HARDING |
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54 |
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14 |
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HIPPITY THE GREEN BUNNY |
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50 |
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11 |
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KEV B |
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46 |
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4 |
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SKY SPORTS |
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46 |
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4 |
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POLL OF POLLS PREDICTION |
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40 |
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2 |
As you can see, the Wisden folks
did best, but not by much. Our own poll
of polls was only two points shy of their score (i.e. only one place) and
significantly ahead of the Sky team and any individual predictions.
The best individual prediction was by Chris Thomas. Many congratulations to him. Chris, if you e-mail me your address I shall
send you your small prize. Please don’t
get overexcited, but it might help you to erase some of the bad memories of a
dreadful season for Middlesex.
As for the losers, I suppose we must name and shame Ned
Harding who came rock bottom. But I suppose given that he is based in
But in the pot, kettle and black department I can surely place myself and Barmy Kev, who both came joint second-bottom along with Hippity the Green Bunny.
Shame.
If anyone wants to see the spreadsheet model that includes
all the predictions and the formulae for computing the winners, you are very
welcome to do so. It bears more than a
passing resemblance to the model I use for the Middlesex Averages Prediction
Game. Please e-mail me at gedladd@hotmail.co.uk and I’ll e-mail
you the spreadsheet.
Results from the Middlesex Averages Prediction game will go
up as soon as I can find a smidge more time to faff around
with numbers in Excel.